Maspalomas vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ICO
2 - 4
MAS
37%
24%
40%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 0
AGU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 2
VLS
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
PDS
24%
23%
54%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAG
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 1
CAS
17%
17%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 2
CER
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 5
CAS
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 3
SFE
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |