Mashuk-KMV vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mashuk-KMV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 0
MAS
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 0
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
NAL
3 - 0
MAS
69%
21%
10%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
MAS
1 - 1
CHE
20%
27%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
DMA
2 - 3
MAS
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 1
DIN
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHE
37%
24%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
AFI
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
DMA
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
MAS
1 - 1
CHE
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |