Mashuk-KMV vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mashuk-KMV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
MIT
2 - 0
MAS
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
MAS
3 - 0
DMA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
AST
3 - 0
MAS
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
MAS
3 - 2
AVV
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
DAG
1 - 3
MAS
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
KRD
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
PER
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
TOR
0 - 3
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
GAZ
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
KUB
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |