Mash' al vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
FKL
1 - 0
MAS
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 1
QIZ
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AND
4 - 0
MAS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 3
PAK
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 0
MAS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 2
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 1
QIZ
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
PAK
4 - 0
QIZ
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
QIZ
2 - 1
NEF
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 0
QIZ
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |