Mash' al vs Navbahor-Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
4º
18
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
URF
2 - 3
MAS
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GIJ
0 - 0
MAS
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
MAS
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Navbahor-Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
2 - 1
SHO
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 2
XOR
8%
16%
76%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GIJ
3 - 1
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 1
QOQ
9%
17%
74%
|
20 | 59 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 1
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |