Mash' al vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AND
0 - 1
MAS
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 2
BUN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOG
1 - 1
MAS
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OBO
1 - 3
MAS
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 0
OLM
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAK
1 - 0
QIZ
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NEF
1 - 2
PAK
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AND
0 - 1
PAK
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
PAK
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PAK
0 - 2
AND
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |