Mash' al vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 3
QIZ
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 0
DOS
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
XOR
0 - 0
MAS
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
BUX
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
DOS
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 1
PAK
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 0
XOR
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 0
ORO
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |