Mash' al vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+137%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
4º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 0
MAS
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FKL
0 - 0
MAS
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 0
FKA
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 2
QOQ
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PFK
2 - 2
MAS
8%
17%
75%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
SHO
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GIJ
1 - 0
ORO
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ORO
4 - 1
DOS
9%
14%
77%
|
26 | 67 | 41 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
ORO
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |