Marz vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
48
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
MAR
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASK
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STM
3 - 1
PIN
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 4
HOR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
STM
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
LEI
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |