Marz vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
JEN
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
KLI
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 0
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PUR
4 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PUR
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
PUR
3 - 1
NEU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
PUR
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STI
1 - 0
PUR
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |