Marz vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIG
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUS
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
6 - 2
SCO
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
OBE
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
2 - 0
PUR
78%
13%
8%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PUR
3 - 1
JEN
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NEU
2 - 4
PUR
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PUR
2 - 1
EBE
59%
22%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
FCW
3 - 1
PUR
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |