Marz vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
36
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
RIT
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KLI
2 - 2
PIN
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
PIN
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
PIN
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
PIN
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
4 - 1
PIN
37%
22%
42%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |