Marz vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 3
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
KLI
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
6 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
FOR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
PIN
4 - 0
STG
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
PUR
1 - 0
PIN
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 1
JEN
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
DEU
0 - 2
PIN
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 3
PAR
38%
24%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |