Marz vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SIG
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 0
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 3
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STM
5 - 1
PIN
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 3
NEU
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 2
PIN
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 0
STI
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |