Marz vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
56
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEI
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
RIT
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
DEU
32%
21%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
PIN
70%
17%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
PAR
17%
18%
65%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
HOR
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KLI
1 - 3
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 2
PAR
26%
20%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |