Marz vs Parndorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
KLI
0 - 0
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 3
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PIN
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
STM
0 - 0
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
NEU
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
0 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
STI
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |