Marz vs Jennersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 2
MAR
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
PIN
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 3
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
KLI
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jennersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JEN
3 - 1
STG
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 0
JEN
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEU
0 - 1
JEN
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
JEN
3 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 1
JEN
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |