Marz vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PIN
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SIG
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STM
1 - 2
HOR
45%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 1
NEU
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 1
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
STI
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |