Marz vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
DRA
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
6 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
STG
4 - 2
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
STG
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
PUR
0 - 3
FOR
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
JEN
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DEU
1 - 0
FOR
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
PAR
29%
23%
49%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |