Marz vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PUR
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
JEN
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
7 - 4
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 5
NEU
22%
22%
57%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PUR
4 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JEN
3 - 0
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |