Marz vs FC Deutschkreutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
32
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
STM
42%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
MAR
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deutschkreutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
PIN
23%
20%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEU
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
HOR
31%
21%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
DEU
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
0 - 2
LEI
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |