Marz vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
PIN
5 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
EBE
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
KLI
4 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
WIN
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
ASK
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
GUS
2 - 3
BAS
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCA
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 0
BAS
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 4
USV
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |