Marz vs Kohfidisch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
30
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
32%
22%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
PIN
5 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +6 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
EBE
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 5
FUR
22%
22%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 4
RIT
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |