Maruinense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
2 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATG
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ATG
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AMP
2 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 3
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
17%
24%
60%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
8%
21%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 6
SER
23%
26%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |