Maruinense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
2 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATG
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
CON
15%
23%
61%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
BOC
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |