Maruinense vs América SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SER
9 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 4
AFP
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
24%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
FFC
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 1
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 4
CON
8%
16%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 1
AME
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |