Martos CD vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
15º
15º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RJA
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
26%
26%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRD
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RJA
6 - 1
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 5
MAL
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
6 - 0
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |