Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-5
Martos CD vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
12%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
MAR
7 - 1
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ILI
1 - 3
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MAR
8 - 1
COI
88%
9%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 1
ILI
76%
15%
8%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
UBE
0 - 2
MAR
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
POL
2 - 1
RON
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
VIL
1 - 2
POL
42%
28%
31%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
POL
4 - 0
MEL
85%
12%
4%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
POL
1 - 0
UBE
79%
15%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ROC
1 - 1
POL
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |