Martos CD vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
17º
17º
5
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 72 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 71 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 69 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 63 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 46 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
54.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRD
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 4
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALM
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
POZ
4 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
POZ
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARE
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |