Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-3
Martos CD vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martos CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOT
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BAI
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 1
UCF
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 2
MLL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALM
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ALM
0 - 0
REC
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
3 - 0
RJA
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |