Martina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
JUS
3 - 1
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAS
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 4
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
PIS
35%
29%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
PRG
0 - 1
MAR
71%
21%
8%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 1
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
PES
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 0
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 3
ASL
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
SOR
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |