Martina vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
MAR
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
TER
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
USF
2 - 1
LAQ
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GIU
1 - 1
LAQ
60%
24%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |