Martina vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAT
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FER
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 3
SSS
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
3 - 0
LAQ
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 0
GIU
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |