Martina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
RIM
2 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
CHI
56%
26%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
REG
3 - 2
TER
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2005 |
NAP
2 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |