Martina Franca vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
15º
9º
56
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -9 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
37%
28%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MES
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
USF
4 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOC
4 - 1
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASF
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |