Martina Franca vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
USF
4 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
FIA
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AKR
3 - 3
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |