Martigny vs Grand-Saconnex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
16º
33
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
MAR
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
SIO
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -3 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
TER
1 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
LAC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 1
MAR
59%
20%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grand-Saconnex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
POR
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ECH
2 - 2
GRA
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 3
EMM
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAT
0 - 1
GRA
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 6
MEY
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |