Martigny vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NAT
2 - 3
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 1
MAR
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
STA
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 2
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
LAU
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ETO
5 - 1
FCA
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ETO
0 - 0
ECH
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VEV
0 - 2
ETO
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
5 - 0
DUD
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +4 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
YVE
4 - 2
ETO
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |