Martigny vs Concordia Lausanne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
16º
27
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
MAR
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
SEC
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
TER
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
4 - 0
MAR
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
POR
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ECH
3 - 1
CON
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
SER
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 1
CON
64%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
MEY
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |