Martigny vs Concordia Lausanne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
16º
16º
27
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
MAR
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
SEC
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
TER
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
4 - 0
MAR
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
POR
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ECH
3 - 1
CON
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
SER
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 1
CON
64%
18%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
MEY
21%
19%
60%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |