Marstal/Rise vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
87.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
15%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.9%
0-4
10.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
13.7%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.6%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marstal/Rise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
5 - 3
KOL
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
SYD
8%
16%
76%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
GRE
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
TAA
2 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
AGF
1 - 0
ESB
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
BIF
0 - 3
AGF
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AGF
2 - 0
ACH
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
SON
0 - 0
AGF
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
LYN
2 - 1
AGF
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |