Marsonia vs Oriolik Oriovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNK
13%
20%
68%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLA
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SLO
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 2
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oriolik Oriovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
NAS
5 - 1
ORI
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ORI
5 - 3
VUT
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
GRA
4 - 0
ORI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 2
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SLA
2 - 0
ORI
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |