Marsonia vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
KIV
0 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
HNK
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INT
1 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 2
KIV
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ZAG
2 - 3
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SLA
2 - 0
HNK
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
HKS
0 - 1
HNK
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
HNK
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
HNK
0 - 0
HKS
26%
25%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HNK
0 - 1
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |