Marsaxlokk FC vs Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 4
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
HAM
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 0
MOS
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SLU
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
SLI
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
SLU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 0
GUD
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |