Marsaxlokk FC vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GUD
0 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATT
85%
10%
6%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
QRE
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GHA
1 - 1
MAR
8%
12%
80%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ZAB
0 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SGC
1 - 3
SAN
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
ZEJ
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GUD
0 - 4
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |