Marsaxlokk FC vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
DIN
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
6 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 5
LIJ
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
4 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 4
MQA
70%
17%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 1
SAN
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ZAB
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
MDI
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
MQA
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |