Marsaxlokk FC vs Pieta Hotspurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
11º
12
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 3
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUD
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pieta Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PIE
3 - 1
GUD
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
PIE
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
ZEB
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
PIE
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
52%
21%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |