Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
11º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 1
MAR
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
HIB
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUD
0 - 1
HAM
21%
26%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
SLU
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ZEB
4 - 2
HAM
15%
24%
62%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GZI
1 - 2
HAM
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |