Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 5
FLO
28%
27%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
3 - 2
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIE
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 3
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
GZI
4 - 0
ZEB
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
GZI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 3
BIR
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 2
MOS
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
GZI
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |