Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
11º
48
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ZEJ
0 - 5
MAR
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
HAM
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 1
MAR
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 0
SLI
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 1
GUD
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 1
GZI
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ZEB
0 - 2
GZI
15%
23%
62%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
GZI
1 - 6
INT
7%
16%
78%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | +1 |