Marsaskala vs Vittoriosa Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
12º
6º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
FUN
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIJ
4 - 3
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
SAI
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
QRE
2 - 2
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
ATT
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |